What-if launch pricing. Data-driven.
Ask: How should we price new Singles product? We analyzed 26 best-selling drink mix SKUs, found an empty competitive zone, and built a recommendation using elasticity modeling.
The Empty Zone
Recommended Price
Format Premium
Competitive Landscape
| Tier | $/Serving | SKUs | Key Products |
|---|---|---|---|
| Budget | < $0.32 | 13 | Great Value $0.14, Crystal Light $0.26–$0.31 |
| Mid-Tier | $0.32–$0.56 | 8 | Gatorade $0.42, Propel $0.44, Cirkul Cartridges $0.56 |
| Opportunity Zone | $0.57–$0.92 | 0 | No brand occupies this space |
| Premium | ≥ $0.93 | 5 | Zipfizz $0.90, Celsius $1.00, Liquid I.V. $1.17 |
Profit Modeling: 10,000 Monthly Sessions
| Scenario | $17.99 | $18.99 | $19.99 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Optimistic | $6,355 | $6,649 | $6,767 |
| Base Case | $6,355 | $6,444 | $6,178 |
| Pessimistic | $6,355 | $5,827 | $5,149 |
Key Recommendation
Launch FitSip, LifeSip, and GoSip Singles as 24-count packs at $18.99 ($0.79/serving). $18.99 wins the base case and limits downside. A/B test $17.99 and $19.99 within 90 days to refine with Cirkul's own demand data.